So I checked, and yeah, that picture is the one from my camera. I didn't even upload it before I went to bed last night, and I sleep on the fucking couch right next to the laptop. But sure enough, C:\Users\Jackson Toth\My Pictures\P4280003.JPG exists, right there. It's even rotated already, even though I had the camera turned sideways.
I must be sleeping heavier. Have to ask my housemate if she did this.